Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.868735 0.995778 1.134069 1.295668 1.479213 1.681096 1.919881
2024-12-15 0.724986 0.907869 1.124020 1.397836 1.734969 2.135990 2.648734
2024-12-22 0.589758 0.801578 1.071666 1.440090 1.928273 2.551573 3.406325
2024-12-29 0.496686 0.728413 1.045355 1.508129 2.163886 3.056721 4.361036
2025-01-05 0.406485 0.640405 0.982119 1.513793 2.315593 3.473995 5.267523
2025-01-12 0.344688 0.580479 0.946599 1.550638 2.515145 3.986153 6.387219
2025-01-19 0.283093 0.508030 0.878142 1.523579 2.611130 4.356074 7.348126
2025-01-26 0.250802 0.477132 0.869827 1.590146 2.864554 5.005126 8.841981
2025-02-02 0.226775 0.455678 0.873018 1.675415 3.160693 5.763162 10.622165
2025-02-09 0.198087 0.419705 0.843581 1.696298 3.344652 6.351843 12.188879
2025-02-16 0.172116 0.383741 0.807506 1.697679 3.490876 6.889903 13.734191
2025-02-23 0.150845 0.353116 0.776271 1.702473 3.642566 7.455284 15.402523
2025-03-02 0.132809 0.326374 0.749319 1.713554 3.812718 8.087280 17.304531
2025-03-09 0.119792 0.308405 0.738009 1.756150 4.055245 8.896909 19.676326
2025-03-16 0.105047 0.283297 0.706430 1.748578 4.188566 9.499996 21.703184
2025-03-23 0.095389 0.268786 0.696739 1.789548 4.436278 10.378663 24.437325
2025-03-30 0.083603 0.246248 0.663719 1.769178 4.538894 10.952372 26.574879
2025-04-06 0.075650 0.232371 0.649815 1.793652 4.752245 11.804005 29.456095
2025-04-13 0.065748 0.210812 0.612093 1.750580 4.792031 12.256473 31.463224
2025-04-20 0.061547 0.205108 0.615923 1.818319 5.124427 13.452353 35.411305
2025-04-27 0.058524 0.202374 0.627554 1.909449 5.531992 14.884887 40.123527
2025-05-04 0.053367 0.191739 0.614630 1.929186 5.750064 15.867758 43.824343
2025-05-11 0.048169 0.179789 0.595642 1.928116 5.910445 16.722313 47.302209